Thursday, March 25, 2010

In the NFL, Pick on Defense and Quarterbacks

We all love to be on the NFL... that's why we're here. But a lot of us still pick NFL games based on our hearts or based with our fan instincts. As a fan, we all love to watch high scoring games. Lots of offense, deep passes, touchdowns, it's all great fun. So it's easy to pick a team with a great offense when it's time to place your bet online. But if one thing ever holds true in the NFL, each and every season, it's that defense wins championships and defense wins games every single week. The other deciding factor is always whether or not you have a top notch quarterback steering the ship.

How about we take a look some of the best teams of the still young NFL season and see if that analysis holds up.

o The New York Giants are undefeated through the first few weeks of the season and they are still led by a pressure defense. They sack the quarterback and create big plays, which leaves the offense in better position and puts less pressure on Eli Manning to try to do it all by himself, who is himself turning into a top level quarterback.

o Moving to a team that actually plays in the state of New York, the Buffalo Bills are also undefeated in the early part of the season. The team has a solid and improving offense, and Trent Edwards may just be a star. He's led several big, late comebacks already. They are also stout on defense. They brought in a Giants player from last season, Kawika Mitchell, and young Paul Posluszny is developing into a throwback, all-purpose, tough guy in the middle.

o The Tennessee Titans have a terrorizing tower of tough guys on the defensive line. They hardly give up any points and they are extremely tough against the run.

o The Pittsburgh Steelers are led by Pro Bowl quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who only knows one thing: how to win football games. On defense, guys like Troy Polamalu and James Harrison always step up in big games and big moments.

Now let's prove the point a bit further:

o The New England Patriots lost Tom Brady, and all of the sudden they are just a good team, not a great team. Brady was protecting an old defense with his ability, but that's a luxury they don't have any longer.

o The Jets and the Dolphins are both improved this season. Nobody mistakes them for world beaters, but both improved their quarterback situation due to the tangled mess of Brett Favre. Pennington can be a solid producer and Favre is an all time great.

o Looking at the bottom rung of the league... what do we see? Typically, a mess at quarterback. 0-4 St. Louis benched starter Marc Bugler, 0-4 Detroit has no franchise quarterback, 0-3 Houston has seen bad performances from Matt Schaub, 1-3 Oakland has a quarterback with no experience, 1-3 Kansas City has lots of quarterbacks with no experience.. and the list goes on.

Add one part strong defense + one part strong quarterback and you have a winning formula in the NFL, bet on it. Never trust a team that's scraping by with a weak defense or with bad quarterback performances.




Simon M Skinner has worked in the online gaming industry since 2000. He has worked for some of the top online sportsbooks and now runs http://www.sportsbook-watch.com which reviews and recommends gambling companies online. He can be reached at info@sportsbook-watch.com

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